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Saturday, 24 November 2007 04:34

Additional problem is rotor. If dealer spins it faster only 1 pocket per sec. and if the spin is 15 sec long it will create 15 pockets error. And finally not all spins will hit dominant diamond. If we get 70 % I would say it is extremely good condition. But that means even if we have 100% accurate prediction 30% of spins will be wrongly predicted.


Anyway, let’s say there is somewhere average of averages.


The white graph is showing such possible case where at some positions we do have higher hits rate. Now if on top of it we apply probability of scatter law (red graph) we get result as displayed on the blue graph.
(By the way the blue graph always displays result of data as if we played 100spins.)

< roulette advantage

Anything above green line is advantage. If we read values we can see that pick point is only 2.85 and green line is at 2.78 so the difference is 0.07. It means that for every 100 spins played we would win 35x0.07=2.45 units. Or if we round it up, we can say every 200 spins we should profit 3 units. Theoretically it will work; you can play for 10 hours and win few bucks.

The problem is that hit rate is only 0.07 above the profitable limit. Therefore we wouldn’t be able to detect it. It will take hours to define it but until then definitely the dealer will change. He may start spinning more often slightly different amount of rotations, the ball will be replaced or to be more dirty, polish on wheel may erode, temperature or air pressure will change, the wheel will slightly move from vibrations on the table, the tilt will change …etc.


On some dominant drop zone wheels, with good VB technique or the FF tilted system, and same scatter it may be possible to get 1-2 extra hits per 100 spins. So compare 2.00 with 0.07. It is huge difference. Whoever seriously played roulette would know that even with significant advantage defining pick point is not easy task at all. So how someone can find it when the point is 30 times smaller?

In addition conditions on the wheel are changing and advantage player can notice them because he knows expected drop point. Defining pick point that is 0.07 above limit is mission imposable.

There is so much irony in this world of roulette. I am selling device which precisely makes prediction based on ball and rotor speed. So there is no estimation at all. The price is 3 times lower then paper system some vendors are offering. But they still make comment well it isn’t really good because it doesn’t have built in graph. For them the device which can produce 2.0 above the line isn’t even good as their paper system which can only theoretically produce 0.07. Reality is that building roulette scatter graph with additional accessesories while playing is useless.

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